People are probably getting tired of me saying that Flash Player 10 is my favorite version of Flash Player ever (even though I keep wanting to tell Flash Player 8 to cover its ears when I say that). Today though, I can really see that a lot more people agree with me. After releasing Flash Player 10 on October 15th, we started seeing a great adoption of Flash Player 10.
When it came time to run our December study, which runs for two weeks at the beginning of December, we were at only a month and a half of deployment. By the end of the study it was a nice round two months. Until Flash Player 9, the normal expectation would be a report of about 20-30%. In the Flash Player 9 days that would be in the 30-40%.
For Flash Player 10, the new number is 56%. That means that over half of the Internet connected world installed a new technology within 6-8 weeks! I’m really just floored. I’m also pleased to say that in the month and a half since the study was run, we are still deploying Flash Players like crazy, so we are really way past 56% as of today. How far past? I have my guesses, but I’d rather wait for the March wave of the study.
What I do think is a safe bet is to start developing for the Flash Player 10 profile whether you use Flash Professional or Flex. Go forth and transform the web with 3D transformations, custom filters and effects, dynamic sound, and all of the other features it takes me about an hour to list off.
A note to the naysayers:
H guys,
For those few that always think that the numbers are too favorable to Adobe, I will say what I always say. The study is done by a third party, they design and deploy the study for us and my two touch points are providing the test media (a SWF exported for a particular version of Flash Player), and getting the results at the end. The study is sample based, but once again, determining the appropriate sample size is up to our vendor. You can read up on the full methodology on our website.
That said, I set up a model based on internal data from our web logs, and had a number that was only off by 2%. Also, we have gotten reports from customers that do their own empirical tracking that was also indicating the same rate. I have very high confidence in the numbers. I hope you do too.
The number il 55%, according to Adobe
What percent of those numbers have flash player 10 installed on corporate machines vs personal machines. This would be an interesting figure to know. Is this available to us Justin?
Those are some awesome stats. Now I can start convincing the higher ups that we should start utilizing FP10′s features more and more.
@fabio: 55.9%. I’m just as happy at 55% though
@Colin: I think we do collect some background information on the people that take the surveys, but I’m not sure if the samples which are set to be appropriate for country representation are tuned to be valid for a subset of the data. I will pass along the feedback to our research group to see if we can add a breakdown in the future.
i love flash player 10 BUT i hate to breakup the party…
i wish the developers (out there) will actually use some of its beautiful features… especially the bidi multi lingual text engine so we can all (linux users too) enjoy the flash applets more.
none ! of the developers for the Israeli educational content web sites have written any code to support the new flash player 10 as4 code
especially (i whinge) on the educational web content community builders that still use old as3 code.
i hope in other countries around the globe the situation is different or at least that in the near future there will be some advancement in this area.
the foundation is definitely there ! if you are a developer and you are reading this far (these lines) please find the time to implement these new features and push them into the web
please
@nadavkav: I agree with your point. There needs to be more content out there, especially content that you can learn from. There are people starting to create content for Flash Player 10, but as always, it takes time for a lot of people to feel comfortable with using the new features because of time to learn new features, but also because the fear that people may not have the latest version of Flash Player.
The latter point is the one that I think the penetration data is most useful for. As we see Flash Player 10 getting out faster and faster, there is less of a reason to wait.
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Hi justin, when will adobe will solve this bug –> http://bugs.adobe.com/jira/browse/FP-444